Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000309 0.000346 0.000386 0.000432 0.000485 0.000543 0.000612
2025-01-19 0.000230 0.000279 0.000338 0.000412 0.000506 0.000620 0.000769
2025-01-26 0.000193 0.000249 0.000320 0.000417 0.000549 0.000721 0.000967
2025-02-02 0.000173 0.000235 0.000317 0.000437 0.000609 0.000849 0.001216
2025-02-09 0.000151 0.000213 0.000300 0.000432 0.000631 0.000925 0.001404
2025-02-16 0.000136 0.000199 0.000290 0.000435 0.000665 0.001021 0.001632
2025-02-23 0.000122 0.000184 0.000277 0.000431 0.000685 0.001096 0.001839
2025-03-02 0.000112 0.000174 0.000270 0.000434 0.000716 0.001193 0.002095
2025-03-09 0.000103 0.000164 0.000261 0.000433 0.000739 0.001278 0.002344
2025-03-16 0.000091 0.000149 0.000243 0.000414 0.000726 0.001297 0.002470
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000142 0.000238 0.000416 0.000753 0.001391 0.002760
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000141 0.000241 0.000435 0.000813 0.001557 0.003221
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000132 0.000231 0.000426 0.000821 0.001622 0.003492
2025-04-13 0.000068 0.000120 0.000214 0.000405 0.000802 0.001634 0.003646
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000115 0.000211 0.000410 0.000836 0.001762 0.004099
2025-04-27 0.000062 0.000115 0.000215 0.000429 0.000903 0.001974 0.004804
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000109 0.000207 0.000424 0.000916 0.002064 0.005216
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000105 0.000204 0.000427 0.000950 0.002207 0.005801
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000100 0.000198 0.000423 0.000965 0.002308 0.006289
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000097 0.000195 0.000427 0.000997 0.002459 0.006960
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000093 0.000191 0.000426 0.001020 0.002586 0.007590
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000086 0.000179 0.000406 0.000992 0.002573 0.007778
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000083 0.000177 0.000408 0.001021 0.002725 0.008542